UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned an attack that killed a French UNIFIL peacekeeper and wounded three others in ...

Iran cites "major differences" with the US after failed peace talks. US-Iran peace deal by April 22 at 19.5% YES.

Iran rejected US uranium trade demands, stalling negotiations. Ending enrichment by April 30 now at 28.5% YES.

Kamala Harris accused Netanyahu of dragging Trump into war with Iran. The U.S. invasion of Iran market now sits at 6.5% YES, ...

Israeli army claims its Lebanon attacks comply with ceasefire terms. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES, June 30 at 100% YES, ...

Liquid restaking protocol Kelp DAO faced a large-scale attack that caused roughly $292 million in damages and triggered ...

Over $520 million in stablecoins exited Ethereum in 24 hours. Ethereum hitting $4,000 by April now sits at 15% YES.

Iran is tightening control over the Strait of Hormuz even as a ceasefire is in place. The odds of Donald Trump announcing the ...

Iran issued new directives for the Strait of Hormuz amid US talks. Diplomatic meeting with Trump by April 30 now at 13% YES.

Iran's navy fired on Indian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, causing UK warship deployment odds by April 30 to drop to 8.5% ...

Iran vows a forceful response if provoked, with a 100% YES on striking Israel by April 30, 2026, while US-Iran peace deal ...

IRGC fired on a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, making UK warship passage unlikely; market at 8.5% YES for sending warships ...