Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Economists have noticed that betting markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are pretty good at predicting not just political ...

At the end of 2024, no AI had even managed to place 100th in one of the major competitions. But they have since vaulted up ...

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This academic seminar series explores a broad range of topics such as data science, urban planning and urban networks and ...

Reactions to Kimmel's suspension, Trump publicly rebukes Putin, and more Length: Long Speed: 1.0x Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a ...

Temperature impacts every part of the world. Meteorological analysis and weather forecasting play a crucial role in sustainable development by helping reduce the damage caused by extreme weather ...

Abstract: In this paper, we present a novel method for advancing time series forecasting by representing discretized time series data through de Bruijn Graphs (dBGs). This method harnesses the ...